Identify the promise before counting the income
A guaranteed return is not a feature of the property. It is a payment obligation owed by a named person or company.
Before placing the promised amount in the base-case cash flow, identify:
- the legal payer and its balance sheet;
- the contract or other document creating the obligation;
- the base on which the percentage is calculated;
- gross or net, and every deduction before payment;
- the start trigger, payment dates and duration;
- the order in which operating revenue pays costs, taxes and the investor;
- the shortfall mechanism when the villa earns less;
- security, reserve, guarantee and claim conditions;
- early termination, force majeure, suspension and sale effects;
- the remedy and realistic recovery path.
If these are missing, the careful model does not label the promise “fraud”. It labels it not yet sufficiently evidenced for the base case.
Similar sales phrases can describe different obligations
| Marketing phrase | It may mean | The missing question |
|---|---|---|
| Projected yield | Forecast from assumed occupancy, ADR and costs | Whose assumptions, and what happens if the assumptions prove wrong? |
| Fixed rent/lease payment | Operator/tenant owes a stated rent | Is it unconditional, indexed, net of what and supported by whom? |
| Minimum revenue guarantee | Operator/developer tops up revenue below a floor | Which revenue definition and what evidence/calculation period? |
| Guaranteed ROI | Contractual payment, profit share, rent or loosely used sales language | What legal instrument and payer create it? |
| Rental pool distribution | Share of pooled performance under allocation rules | Which properties/costs/reserves and who audits the allocation? |
| Developer subsidy | Price-funded or budgeted top-up during launch | Is it funded, ring-fenced and separate from buyer money? |
| Repurchase | Put option, repurchase covenant, best-efforts resale or marketing promise | Who must buy, when, at what price, subject to which conditions? |
| Personal/parent guarantee | Support by another legal person | Is there an executed, authorised and enforceable guarantee, or only a statement? |
| Insured return | Insurance policy may cover defined events | Which insurer, policy, exclusions, beneficiary and claim process? |
One phrase can sit in several contracts: acquisition, lease, management, revenue guarantee and repurchase. Read them together. The weakest inconsistency or termination clause can control the outcome.
How to treat the promise in a financial model
| What you have | What it establishes | What to do before payment |
|---|---|---|
| No answer yet | No answer or supporting document has been provided | Ask the precise question; do not infer absence, compliance or non-applicability |
| Statement only | A marketing statement, answer, undated screenshot or self-certified percentage | Ask for the document or measurement that supports it; do not count the point as satisfied |
| Document mentioned but not provided | A document or check is referred to, but its contents cannot be examined | Obtain the document and have the appropriate professional examine it |
| Document received but not checked | You have the file, but its issuer, date, relevance and match to the property or entity remain unconfirmed | Ask the appropriate lawyer, architect, engineer, accountant or tax adviser to check it; possession alone proves only that the file was received |
| Checked for a defined question | A named professional has stated what was checked, for which property or entity, from which source and on what date | Use the conclusion only for the question examined; do not describe it as an independent verification |
| Independently checked | A suitably independent second check supports that defined conclusion | Continue with the remaining contract, technical, payment and dependency checks |
| Contradiction | Documents, parties, parcel details, promises or public records conflict | Identify who must resolve it, what evidence is required and by when; pause the affected payment or decision |
| Out of date | The document or professional conclusion is no longer current on the decision date | Obtain an updated document or confirmation before relying on it |
| Unavailable | A required item cannot presently be obtained | Keep the gap explicit; unavailable does not mean non-applicable |
| Not applicable | The appropriate professional confirms that the exact rule or document does not apply to this transaction and explains why | Keep the written reasoning, the professional's name and the date; never use this label merely to avoid a control |
Never add both the guaranteed payment and the same underlying net rental income unless the contract genuinely gives both. That is double counting.
1. Which legal entity must pay?
Write the full legal name, not the brand.
Then check:
- incorporation and current status and authorised signatory;
- whether the obligation is inside the acquisition, lease, operator or separate guarantee contract;
- whether the payer owns the land, receives the purchase price, operates the villa or does none of those;
- current accounts and liabilities appropriate to the size of the promise;
- how many other units receive the same promise;
- whether funding depends on future sales, operating revenue, a reserve or affiliate support;
- whether any parent, shareholder or director is bound.
Under company-law analysis, companies in the same group remain distinct legal actors. Shared branding, shareholders or directors may explain a relationship; they do not replace an express obligation. Counsel must confirm the current Indonesian corporate-authority and guarantee mechanics for the exact document.
2. What amount is the 8% calculated on?
Possible bases include:
- headline purchase price;
- purchase price excluding tax/fees/furniture;
- amounts paid;
- construction component only;
- net invested capital after incentives;
- a fixed IDR amount translated from a foreign-currency price;
- an independently valued amount;
- depreciating or outstanding balance.
If a villa is marketed at USD 500,000 with an 8% return, the brochure implies USD 40,000 a year. The contract may instead apply 8% to USD 400,000 after excluding land, tax and furniture, then deduct management, maintenance, withholding and reserve. The cash result is no longer USD 40,000.
The correct summary must state:
rate × defined base = gross contractual amount → deductions/tax → cash paid
Currency matters too. A USD headline with an IDR payment obligation needs a conversion source, date and allocation of exchange risk.
3. When does the obligation start and end?
Common triggers are not equivalent:
- contract signing;
- full purchase-price payment;
- practical completion;
- handover;
- SLF/required operating readiness;
- first guest;
- start of operator agreement;
- a fixed date, even if construction is delayed.
If “three years guaranteed” starts only after operational opening, a construction delay may postpone both the income and the end date. The longstop or termination clause may also cancel the arrangement. If the guarantee starts on the scheduled handover date, who pays during a delay? The document must say.
Also test early sale, owner occupation, force majeure, licence suspension, major repair, operator default, change of operator and termination. A promise that disappears on the first commercially realistic event should not be priced like a fixed bond.
Follow the money before it reaches the investor
The contract should state, in ordinary language, the order in which revenue is received and then used:
- who receives direct and platform bookings;
- which taxes, platform fees and refunds are deducted;
- which operating costs, management fees and reserves are paid;
- how the amount due to the owner is calculated;
- who covers any shortfall and when that obligation is payable.
The party collecting guest revenue may be different from the party promising the 8%. Map both entities and both contracts.
A promise is different from cash set aside or security
| Support | What it can add | What still needs testing |
|---|---|---|
| Contractual covenant | A direct obligation | Solvency, defences, jurisdiction and remedy |
| Cash reserve | Pre-funded liquidity | Ownership/control, permitted use, amount, release, replenishment and insolvency |
| Escrow arrangement | Conditional third-party/control mechanics | Exact account, agent, conditions, fees, term and applicable law |
| Bank guarantee | Bank payment within instrument terms | Issuer, beneficiary, amount, expiry, demand wording and reductions |
| Parent/shareholder guarantee | Affiliate recourse | Authority, cap, duration, assets, defences and enforceability |
| Security over an asset/right | Potential recovery priority | Valid creation/perfection, eligible collateral, prior claims, valuation and enforcement |
| Insurance | Cover for named insured risks | Insurer, beneficiary, exclusions, deductibles and claim acceptance |
No label makes the support automatic. A “reserve” held in the operating company's normal account may be spent. A guarantee expiring at scheduled completion may disappear before a delayed handover. An escrow arrangement may release funds on documents that do not prove construction quality. Read the release and claim mechanics.
A repurchase promise is an exit contract, not a resale value
A repurchase promise requires its own term sheet:
- option holder and obligated buyer;
- asset/right to be repurchased;
- exercise window and notice mechanics;
- price: fixed, indexed, original price, net book amount or formula;
- currency and payment date;
- required condition of villa and operating accounts;
- treatment of furniture, leases, bookings and staff;
- consents, assignment/transfer route and remaining term;
- taxes, fees and withholding;
- set-off, disputes and completion documents;
- security and remedy if the buyer does not complete.
“We will help resell at 20% uplift” is brokerage/marketing support, not necessarily a repurchase obligation. “Repurchase at original price” may still produce a loss after inflation, taxes, fees, currency movement and years of lost use. Conversely, a carefully funded put can be valuable. The contract terms, not the label, determine what belongs in the model.
Example: 8% for three years and a repurchase in year five
All entities, figures, dates and facts in this worked example are fictional and illustrative.
An investor pays USD 500,000. The deck shows USD 40,000 per year and a repurchase at USD 600,000 in year five.
The file reveals:
- PT Operator O, not the landholder or developer, owes the annual payment.
- The base excludes USD 75,000 of tax, furniture and fees: 8% applies to USD 425,000, or USD 34,000 gross.
- The promise starts on operational opening, not handover; there is no payment during construction delay.
- Owner-paid insurance, major maintenance and a reserve are deducted before distribution.
- The company tops up only after collected revenue is reconciled quarterly; the contract permits suspension if the operating licence is lost for reasons outside its control.
- No cash reserve or affiliate guarantee is evidenced. The investor therefore models the payment as PT Operator O credit exposure, not as property yield.
- PT Developer D owes the repurchase, but only in a 30-day exercise window and subject to no owner occupation or unapproved alteration.
- The USD 600,000 is payable in IDR at a defined rate; taxes/transfer costs and remaining lease term still need advice.
This does not automatically make the offer good or bad. It turns two large numbers into two specific counterparties and two measurable risk cases.
Limits of this review
It does not:
- classify your arrangement as rent, return, dividend, interest, service income or another legal/tax category;
- prove that the promoter is authorised to offer a particular investment product;
- verify accounts, reserves, security or signatures;
- decide whether a guarantee or repurchase promise is enforceable;
- predict occupancy, ADR, costs, regulation, tax, currency or resale value;
- make housing/PPJB protections apply to every leasehold villa;
- make any escrow or security universally required;
- tell you to proceed, reject or assign a global risk score.
Check the payer before you count the percentage
Read operator and project-party roles before accepting an operator label. Keep the contractual guarantee separate from the villa's own operating scenario. Review the repurchase against the remaining lease term and exit assumptions, and organise the underlying evidence with the Bali property due diligence guide.
The key question is not “Is 8% high or low?” It is: what cash must exist, in whose account, under which document, on which date, for this investor to receive the promised amount after costs and tax?
Official sources and date consulted
Official sources consulted on 15 July 2026. Official anchors used only for framework boundaries: Company Law 40/2007 official PDF for distinct companies, corporate organs/authority and shares, subject to amendments/current counsel; PP 12/2021 for the housing marketing/PPJB system where applicable; Permen PKP 18/2025 and July 2026 SE 05/SE 06 for the relevant housing-sector business framework within scope; PP 16/2021 for building/PBG/SLF distinctions.
Checks before relying on this framework: transaction/investment-product classification by Indonesian counsel; corporate authority and enforceability; current financial evidence and security review; operator model and merchant flow; scoped Indonesian tax sign-off on tax character, withholding, invoices and cross-border payments; local licence/building applicability; the official sources must be checked again on the decision date. Do not treat a return “secured”, “insured” or “protected” without the exact instrument and written confirmation from the relevant qualified professional.
Two questions to explore next
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